Integrated Models of Non-Permanent Information Warfare

Temur Chilachava, Liana Karalashvili, Nugzar Kereselidze

Abstract


In the paper, a new Integrated Mathematical Model of Information warfare is built. In the suggested model, by selecting continuous intensity coefficients of aggressiveness of the conflicting parties and the peacemaking activity of a third party, it is possible to describe the process of Non-Permanent Information Warfare with restrictions. The Non-Permanence of Information Warfare is due to an increase in the information confrontation between the two sides over a certain period. In the modeling, Non-Permanent Information Warfare has highlighted a particular boundary value problem. The existence of the solution of the special boundary value problem determines the controllability of the Non-Permanent Information Warfare by the peacekeeping side. The task of the peacekeeping side is to end Information Warfare by the conflicting sides, i.e., to stop them from spreading negative information against each other. By using a computer experiment, various modes of Information Warfare have been studied, depending on the strategies of the sides. In particular, the regime of mutual attenuation of the parties is considered, when the conflicting parties simultaneously increase the amount of information distributed by a certain period and then reduce them. The regime of mutual aggravation is also considered. For each mode of development of Non-Permanent Information Warfare, the problem of controllability is separately studied, and a forecast of development of the process of Information Warfare for different values of parameters of the system is given. For the peacekeeping side management, parameters are proposed - coefficient peacekeeping activity and the level of Information Technology.

Keywords


non-permanent information warfare; escalation; attenuation; information attack; integrated mathematical model; computer model; computer experiment; controllability.

Full Text:

PDF

References


N. Kereselidze, “Mathematical and Computer Models of Non-Permanent Information Warfare,” WSEAS Transactions on Systems, Vol. 18, Art #8, pp. 73-80, 2019. http://www.wseas.org/multimedia/journals/systems/2019/a165102-087.pdf

A.P. Mikhailov, A.P. Petrov, G.B. Pronchev, O.G. Proncheva, “Modelirovanie Spada Obshestvennogo Vnimania k Proshedshemu Razovomu Politizeskomu Sobitiu,” Doklady Akademiy Nauk, Vol. 480, No. 4, pp. 397-400, 2018. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1134/S1064562418030158

T. Chilachava, N. Kereselidze, “Continuous Linear Mathematical Model of Preventive Information Warfare,” Sokhumi State University Proceedings, Mathematics and Computer Sciences vol. 7, № 7. p. 113 – 141, 2009.

T. Chilachava, N. Kereselidze, “Non-Preventive Continuous Linear Mathematical Model of Information Warfare,” Sokhumi State University Proceedings, Mathematics and Computer Sciences vol. 7, No 7. p. 91-112, 2009.

B.K. Mishra, A. Prajapati, “Modelling and Simulation: Cyber war,” Procedia Technology, vol. 10, Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp. 987-997, 2013.

N. Kereselidze, “Mathematical model of information warfare taking into account the capabi¬lities of the information technologies of the opposing sides,”(In Russian). Transactions II The International Technical Conference dedicated to the 90th anniversary of the Georgian Technical University "Basic Paradigms in Science and Technology", 21st Century, Tbilisi, Georgia, September 19-21, 2012. Publishing House "Technical University", Tbilisi pp. 188-190 , 2012.

N. Kereselidze, “Mathematical model of information confrontation taking into account the possibilities of Information Technologies of the parties,” (In Russian). Proceedings of the XX International Conference Problems of Security Management of Complex Systems. Moscow, pp. 175-178, December 2012.

N. Kereselidze, “Combined continuous nonlinear mathematical and computer models of the Information Warfare,” International Journal of Circuits, Systems and Signal Processing, Volume 12, pp. 220-228, 2018. http://www.naun.org/main/NAUN/circuitssystemssignal/2018/a682005-aep.pdf

A.A. Samarskiy, A.P. Mikhailov, Mathematical modelling: Ideas. Methods. Examples. 2nd ed. Correction. - Fizmatlit, Moscow, 2005.

A.P. Petrov, O.G. Proncheva, “Modeling propaganda battle: Decision-making, homophily, and echo chambers,” Artificial Intelligence and Natural Language. AINL 2018, Vol. 930 of Communications in Computer and Information Science, Springer Cham, pp. 197–209, 2018.

T. Chilachava, “Research of the Dynamic System Describing Globalization Process,” Mathematics, Informatics and their Applications in Natural Sciences and Engineering, Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, v. 276, pp. 67 – 78, 2019. https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-10419-1_4

N. Kereselidze, “An Optimal Control Problem in Mathematical and Computer Models of the Information Warfare,” Differential and Difference Equations with Applications: ICDDEA, Amadora, Portugal, May 2015, Selected Contributions. /Editors: Pinelas, S., Došlб, Z., Došlэ, O., Kloeden, P.E. (Eds.), Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, 164, pp. 303-311, 2016. https://www.springer.com/gp/book/9783319328553

N. Kereselidze, “Chilker-type Mathematical and Computer Models in The Information Warfare,” (in Russia), Journal Information warfare's. №2 (38), pp. 18-25. 2016. http://media.wix.com/ugd/ec9cc2_b170f4b39b2f4b29bb68348961f5798f.pdf

N. Kereselidze, “Chilker type task for mathematical and computer model of information warfare of ignoring the enemy,” Proceedings of the XXIV International Conference Problems of Security Management of Complex Systems. Moscow, pp. 147-150, December 2016.




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18517/ijaseit.10.6.9817

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.



Published by INSIGHT - Indonesian Society for Knowledge and Human Development